R01 — Australian GP
Predictions Results
97 pts
| # | Question | My Pick | 2× | Pts Available | Pts Earned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Podium | Leclerc P1 · Verstappen P2 · Antonelli P3 | ⚡ | 80 exact / 40 top-3 | 60 |
| 02 | Pole position | Leclerc | — | 12 | 0 |
| 03 | Gasly or Sainz qualifies higher | Gasly | — | 10 | 10 |
| 04 | Teams with a driver in Q3 | 7 teams | — | 20 | 0 |
| 05 | Fastest pit stop | Ferrari | — | 15 | 0 |
| 06 | Fastest lap | Verstappen | — | 12 | 12 |
| 07 | Alpine or Audi higher in constructors | Alpine | — | 10 | 0 |
| 08 | Hadjar finish position | 4th–10th | — | 10 | 0 |
| 09 | SC/VSC in first 5 laps | NO | — | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Classified finishers | 17 | — | 15 | 0 |
| TOTAL | 97 |
Notes
Pre-race decisions:
- Q1 Podium + 2×: Swapped Norris → Antonelli. Mercedes sandbagging in testing, Antonelli 2nd fastest overall. Higher points value (18 vs 15) and genuine podium pace. Max upside 80pts (exact) before doubling.
- Q9 SC/VSC: Flipped YES → NO. Teams ultra conservative on lap 1 of new reg era. NO pays 15pts vs 10pts — contrarian call with positive expected value.
- Q10 Finishers: Switched 18 → 17. Stroll limited to 15 laps and Alonso to 25 before risking nerve damage from vibrations. One or both Aston Martin retirements highly likely. Also pays more — 15pts vs 10pts.
Result: Russell P1 · Antonelli P2 · Leclerc P3. Mercedes sandbagging was massive — 1-2 caught everyone off guard. Antonelli swap in Q1 saved ~18pts vs Norris pick. Q10 attrition worse than expected (16 finishers, not 17). Late NO call on Q9 rewarded. 3/10 correct (Q3 Gasly, Q6 Verstappen FL, Q9 No SC).