R04 — Miami GP
Predictions Results
90 pts
| # | Question | My Pick | 2× | Pts Available | Pts Earned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Predict the podium | Antonelli P1 · Piastri P2 · Norris P3 | — | 45 | 45 |
| 02 | Norris sprint finish | Podium | — | 15 | 15 |
| 03 | Sprint — Gasly or Bearman highest finisher | Gasly | — | 10 | 10 |
| 04 | Pole position | Antonelli | — | 10 | 10 |
| 05 | Both Williams cars out of Q1 | No | — | 15 | 0 |
| 06 | Fastest lap of the race | Piastri | — | 20 | 0 |
| 07 | Fastest pitstop | Red Bull Racing | — | 15 | 0 |
| 08 | SC or VSC in first 10 laps | No | ✓ | 30 | 0 |
| 09 | Classified finishers | >19 | — | 20 | 0 |
| 10 | Championship leader after Miami | Antonelli | — | 10 | 10 |
| TOTAL | 90 |
Notes
Pre-race decisions:
- Q1 Podium without the 2× multiplier (Q8 took it instead): Antonelli P1, Piastri P2 over Russell (14 vs 5 pts) for McLaren’s Miami pace advantage, Norris P3 over Leclerc (15 vs 10 pts) for the same reason. EV-driven picks against the safer options.
- Q8 given the 2× multiplier: Miami is purpose-built, not a traditional street circuit, making No SC the more probable outcome (~55%). The 2× maximised return on the best-odds binary question. Norris/Piastri swap on Q1 meant Q8 got the multiplier rather than the podium question.
- Q6 went Piastri at 20 pts over Antonelli at 10 — marginal EV edge (3.6 vs 3.5) given McLaren’s sprint weekend form.
Result:
- Q1 ✓ (45 pts): All three drivers hit the podium — Antonelli P1 correct, but Norris and Piastri swapped (Norris P2, Piastri P3). Partial-credit scoring gave full value for each driver being on the podium regardless of exact position. Maximum achievable for our picks.
- Q2 ✓ (15 pts): Norris won the sprint — a sprint podium and then some. Correct.
- Q3 ✓ (10 pts): Gasly finished P8 in the sprint, Bearman P12. Gasly was the higher finisher as predicted. The lower-risk, lower-payout call paid off.
- Q4 ✓ (10 pts): Antonelli took pole with 1:27.798 — his fourth consecutive pole position.
- Q5 ✗ (0 pts): Both Williams cars made it through Q1. Sainz qualified P13, Albon P15 — both comfortably into Q2. Albon’s Q1 failure at Suzuka didn’t repeat at Miami.
- Q6 ✗ (0 pts): Norris set fastest lap on Lap 35 (1:31.869), not Piastri. Antonelli’s 3/3 streak ended but the points went to Norris rather than either McLaren driver on a flat-out stint.
- Q7 ✗ (0 pts): Mercedes won the pitstop battle — their 2.2-second stop vs McLaren’s 2.8 seconds was the decisive margin that gave Antonelli the race lead. Red Bull’s pit crew delivered nothing notable. Third consecutive miss on this question.
- Q8 ✗ (0 pts): A Safety Car was deployed on lap 5 after Lawson’s gearbox failed under braking and launched Gasly’s car into the tyre barrier. Hadjar’s incident at Turn 14 added to the chaos. The SC ran to lap 12. Costly — the 2× multiplier returned nothing.
- Q9 ✗ (0 pts): Only 18 classified finishers from 22 starters (Lawson, Gasly, Hadjar, Hülkenberg all retired). The street circuit incident risk and Audi’s reliability collapse produced more attrition than the >19 threshold allowed.
- Q10 ✓ (10 pts): Antonelli leads the championship on 100 points, 20 ahead of Russell. Correct and never in doubt.